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Macroeconomics Course at South Asian University, Monsoon 2018, Study Guides, Projects, Research of Macroeconomics

Information about a Master's degree course in Economics, specifically the 'Topics in Macroeconomics' offered at the Faculty of Economics, South Asian University during the Monsoon Semester 2018. The course covers various topics in macroeconomics, with an emphasis on formal models and computational methods using MATLAB and Dynare. Students will gain an understanding of theoretical, empirical, and policy discourse in macroeconomics.

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Faculty of Economics
South Asian University
M.A. Economics
Monsoon Semester 2018
Topics in Macroeconomics
(Optional Course)
Soumya Datta
Lectures: Thu & Fri 11am -1pm (ECO-02 / Computer Lab)
Office: Room No. 328
Office Hours: Mon & Tue 11am - 1pm or by appointment
Email: soumya@econ.sau.ac.in
Email Group: tmac2018@econ.sau.ac.in
Email Group Website: https://is.gd/e6Js5t
Course Description
This course consists of a selection of topics which have received significant attention by macroe-
conomists and policymakers in recent times. The emphasis shall be on formal models, especially some of
the workhorse models in contemporary macroeconomics. After completing this course, the students will
gain an understanding of not only theoretical but also empirical as well as policy discourse in this area,
and will also be in a position to explore further in an area of their choice.
Computational methods have become an indispensable part of contemporary macroeconomics,
and hence, will form an integral part of this course. Hands-on training will be provided on MATLAB, a
popular computer algebra system with macroeconomists. In addition, the students will also be introduced
to Dynare, a MATLAB based sofware platform for handling DSGE and OLG models. We will make use
of the new state-of-the-art systems in the Computer Lab (Room no. 219) with MATLAB 2018a installed
for this purpose. Students are encouraged to extensively use these systems beyond teaching / lab hours
in order to maximize gains from this part of the course.
An email group, consisting of institutional email IDs (i.e. in sau.ac.in domain) of students registered
for this course is being set up. Important communication regarding lectures, course contents, readings
etc. will be circulated through this group. To join this group, either visit the course email group website
(mentioned above) or send a join request to tmac2018@econ.sau.ac.in or me. It is your responsibility to
remain updated by checking your institutional email regularly.
A brief outline of the course and reading list is provided below. Note that starred readings are
optional.
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Faculty of Economics South Asian University

M.A. Economics Monsoon Semester 2018

Topics in Macroeconomics

(Optional Course)

Soumya Datta

Lectures: Thu & Fri 11am -1pm (ECO-02 / Computer Lab)

Office: Room No. 328

Office Hours: Mon & Tue 11am - 1pm or by appointment

Email: soumya@econ.sau.ac.in

Email Group: tmac2018@econ.sau.ac.in

Email Group Website: https://is.gd/e6Js5t

Course Description

This course consists of a selection of topics which have received significant attention by macroe- conomists and policymakers in recent times. The emphasis shall be on formal models, especially some of the workhorse models in contemporary macroeconomics. After completing this course, the students will gain an understanding of not only theoretical but also empirical as well as policy discourse in this area, and will also be in a position to explore further in an area of their choice.

Computational methods have become an indispensable part of contemporary macroeconomics, and hence, will form an integral part of this course. Hands-on training will be provided on MATLAB, a popular computer algebra system with macroeconomists. In addition, the students will also be introduced to Dynare, a MATLAB based sofware platform for handling DSGE and OLG models. We will make use of the new state-of-the-art systems in the Computer Lab (Room no. 219) with MATLAB 2018a installed for this purpose. Students are encouraged to extensively use these systems beyond teaching / lab hours in order to maximize gains from this part of the course.

An email group, consisting of institutional email IDs (i.e. in sau.ac.in domain) of students registered for this course is being set up. Important communication regarding lectures, course contents, readings etc. will be circulated through this group. To join this group, either visit the course email group website (mentioned above) or send a join request to tmac2018@econ.sau.ac.in or me. It is your responsibility to remain updated by checking your institutional email regularly.

A brief outline of the course and reading list is provided below. Note that starred readings are optional.

Course Outline

1 Introduction

A brief review of a few important developments in contemporary macroeconomics. Some stylized facts, Great Moderation, Global Financial Crisis, a few contemporary macroeconomic issues. Readings: Uribe & Schmitt-Groh´e (2017) Chapt. 1, Cooley (1995) Chapt. 1, Lucas (1976), *Kydland & Prescott (1977), *Sims (1980).

2 Essential Tools

2.1 Dynamic Programming

Dynamic programming, Bellman equation and policy functions, introduction to stochastic processes and Markov chains, optimal stopping problems, stochastic dynamic programming. Readings: Adda & Cooper (2003) chapt. 2, *Ljungqvist & Sargent (2012) chapt. 2 & 3.

2.2 Coding and Softwares

Introduction to coding and programming languages, simple numerical exercises using spreadsheets, in- troduction to MATLAB / GNU Octave, writing simple codes in MATLAB, using MATLAB symbolic toolbox for solving simple problems, numerical solutions to differential equations using Runge-Kutta method (ode45 package), numerical simulation of deterministic and stochastic growth models (using MATLAB), dynamic programming in MATLAB, introduction to Dynare. Readings: MATLAB & Dynare User guides, Afonso & Vasconcelos (2016), Novales, Fern´andez & Ruiz (2014).

3 DSGE Models

3.1 Basic DSGE Model

Recursive methods (in deterministic & stochastic models), stochastic growth model with labor-leisure choice: Arrow-Debreu equilibrium vs. recursive competitive equilibrium, log-linearization techniques, linear quadratic dynamic programming and the method of Kydland & Prescott (time permitting), sta- tionary and non-stationary equilibrium dynamnics, inducing stationarity, moving from theory to data, calibration (brief discussion only), Hodrick-Prescott filter, limitations and critiques of equilibrium theo- ries. Readings: Adda & Cooper (2003) chapt. 5, Cooley (1995) chapt. 1, Uribe & Schmitt-Groh´e (2017) chapt. 4, *McCandless (2008) chapt. 4 to 7, Summers (1990), *Kydland & Prescott (1982), *Kydland & Prescott (1990), *King & Rebelo (1999).

3.2 Incomplete Markets

Incomplete markets, uninsured idiosyncratic risks, heterogeneous agents. Readings: Aiyagiri (1994), *Benhabib, Bisin & Zhu (2015).

3.3 Imperfect Competition, Imperfect Information and Nominal Rigidities

Imperfect competition (Dixit-Stiglitz framework); imperfect information: signal extraction and nominal sluggishness; nominal rigidities: introduction of non-Walrasian features, Gray contract, Fischer contract, Taylor model, Rotemberg model, Calvo model, New Keynesian Phillips curve, New Keynesian Model. Readings: B´enassy (2011) chapt. 12 & 13, *Novales et al. (2014) chapt. 8.

3.4 Applications

Application to Euro Area, business cycles in emerging markets. Readings: *Smets & Wouters (2003), *Smets & Wouters (2007), *Ghate, Pandey & Patnaik (2013), *Aguiar & Gopinath (2007), *Neumeyer & Perri (2005).

Reference and Further Readings

Adda, J. & Cooper, R. (2003), Dynamic Economics, MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Afonso, O. & Vasconcelos, P. B. (2016), Computational Economics, Routledge.

Aguiar, M. & Gopinath, G. (2007), ‘Emerging market business cycles: The cycle is the trend’, Journal of Political Economy 115 , 69–102.

Aiyagiri, S. R. (1994), ‘Uninsured insurance risk and aggregate saving’, The Quarterly Journal of Eco- nomics 109 (3), 659–684.

Arthur, W. B. (2014), Complexity economics: A new framework for economic thought, in W. B. Arthur, ed., ‘Complexity Economics’, Oxford University Press.

B´enassy, J.-P. (2011), Macroeconomic Theory, Oxford University Press, New York.

Benhabib, J., Bisin, A. & Zhu, S. (2015), ‘The wealth distribution in Bewley economies with capital income risk’, Journal of Economic Theory 159 , 489–515.

Blecker, R. (2002), Distribution, demand and growth in neo-kaleckian macro-models, in ‘The Economics of Demand-Led Growth’, Edward Elgar Publishing, chapter 8, pp. 129–152.

Chiarella, C., He, X.-Z. & Zheng, M. (2013), ‘Heterogeneous expectations and exchange rate dynamics’, The European Journal of Finance 19 (5), 392–419.

Colander, D., Holt, R. & Rosser, B. (2004), ‘The changing face of mainstream economics’, Review of Political Economy 16 (4), 485–499.

Cooley, T. F., ed. (1995), Frontiers of Business Cycles Research, Princeton University Press.

de Grauwe, P. (2012), Lectures on Behavioral Macroeconomics, Princeton University Press.

de Grauwe, P. (2016), Economics of Monetary Union, Oxford University Press.

Fama, E. F. (1970), ‘Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work’, The Journal of Finance 25 (2), 383–417.

Ghate, C., Pandey, R. & Patnaik, I. (2013), ‘Has India emerged? business cycle stylized facts from a transitioning economy’, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 24 , 157–172.

King, R. G. & Rebelo, S. T. (1999), Resusciating real business cycles, in J. Taylor & M. Woodford, eds, ‘Handbook of Macroeconomics’, Vol. 1, Elsevier Science B.V.

Kocherlakota, N. (2008), ‘Injecting rational bubbles’, Journal of Economic Theory 142 , 218–232.

Kurz, H. D. & Salvadori, N. (2011), The post-keynesian theories of growth and distribution: a survey, in Handbook of Alternative Theories of Economic Growth (Setterfield 2011).

Kydland, F. E. & Prescott, E. C. (1977), ‘Rules rather than discretion: The inconsistency of optimal plans’, Journal of Political Economy 87 , 473–492.

Kydland, F. E. & Prescott, E. C. (1982), ‘Time to build and aggregate fluctuations’, Econometrica 50 (6), 1345–1370.

Kydland, F. E. & Prescott, E. C. (1990), ‘Business cycles: Real facts and monetary myths’, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review.

Lavoie, M. (2014), Post-Keynesian Economics: New Foundations, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.

Ljungqvist, L. & Sargent, T. J. (2012), Recursive Macroeconomic Theory, third edn, MIT Press, Cam- bridge, Massachusetts.

Lucas, R. E. (1976), ‘Econometric policy evaluation: A critique’, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 1 (0), 19 – 46.

McCandless, G. (2008), The ABCs of RBCs: An introduction to dynamic macroeconomic models, Har- vard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Neumeyer, P. A. & Perri, F. (2005), ‘Business cycles in emerging economies: the role of interest rates’, Journal of Monetary Economics 52 (2), 345–380.

Novales, A., Fern´andez, E. & Ruiz, J. (2014), Computational Economics, Routledge.

Pissarides, C. A. (2000), Equilibrium Unemployment Theory, 2nd edn, MIT Press, MA.

Setterfield, M. (2011), Handbook of Alternative Theories of Economic Growth, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.

Shleifer, A. & Vishny, R. W. (1997), ‘The limits of arbitrage’, The Journal of Finance 52 (1), 35–55.

Sims, C. A. (1980), ‘Macroeconomics and reality’, Econometrica 48 (1), 1–48.

Skott, P. (2011), Growth, instability and cycles: Harrodian and kaleckian models of accumulation and income distribution, in Handbook of Alternative Theories of Economic Growth (Setterfield 2011).

Smets, F. & Wouters, R. (2003), ‘An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the euro area’, Journal of the European Economic Association 1 (5), 1123–1175.

Smets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007), ‘Shocks and frictions in us business cycles: A Bayesian DSGE approach’, American Economic Review 97 (3), 586–606.

Summers, L. H. (1990), ‘Some skeptical observations on real business cycle theory’, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review.

Tirole, J. (1985), ‘Asset bubbles and overlapping generations’, Econometrica 53 (6), 1499–1528.

Uribe, M. & Schmitt-Groh´e, S. (2017), Open Economy Macroeconomics, Princeton University Press.