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A quiz from an introduction to econometrics course at drake university, fall 1995. It includes questions about classical assumptions for least squares, properties of least squares estimators, and confidence intervals and tests with normally-distributed and arbitrarily-distributed errors.
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Introduction to Econometrics (Econ 107) Drake University, Fall 1995 William M. Boal
Name: _________________________________
INSTRUCTIONS: Closed-book, closed-notes, calculators permitted. Please write your answers on this sheet.
(1) [Classical assumptions for least squares: 24 pts] Which of the following are classical assumptions? Write "YES" for classical assumptions and "NO" otherwise. a. The mean of the error term is zero: E(εi) = 0.
b. The mean of the regressor is zero: E(xi) = 0.
c. The variance of the error term is zero: Var(εi) = 0.
d. The covariance between the error term and the regressor is zero: Cov(xi,εi) = 0. e. The covariance between the regressor and dependent variables is zero: Cov(xi,yi) = 0. f. The covariance between the error term and the dependent variable is zero: Cov(εi,yi) = 0. g. The covariance between the error terms for different observations is zero: Cov(εj,εi) = 0, for i≠j. h. The true intercept is zero.
(2) [Properties of least squares: 21 pts] Under the classical assumptions, which of the following properties hold? Write "TRUE" or "FALSE." a. The least squares estimators are unbiased.
b. The reverse least squares estimators are unbiased.
c. Greater variance in the error term increases the variance of the least- squares estimators. d. Greater variation in the regressor increases the variance of the least- squares estimators. e. The least squares estimators for the intercept and slope are uncorrelated with each other. f. The covariance of the least squares estimators for the intercept and slope is negative if the sample mean of the regressors is positive. g. The least squares estimators have the smallest variance among all linear estimators with zero bias.
(3) [Properties of least squares: 15 pts] Suppose the true slope is positive, but in our data the error term is negatively correlated with the regressor. The the least squares estimator of the slope will be (check only one box): biased upward (estimated slope too steep). biased downward (estimated slope too flat or perhaps even negative). unbiased.
(4) [Confidence intervals and tests with normally-distributed errors: 20 pts] Using a sample of 12 observations, the following results are obtained from a regression of Y on X. Here the numbers without parentheses are the least-squares point estimates of the slope and intercept, while the numbers reported directly below them (in parentheses) are the standard errors. Assume for this problem that the error term is normally-distributed.
a. Compute an exact 99% confidence interval for
b. Test the null hypothesis that the slope coefficient equals 1.0 against the (one-sided) alternative hypothesis that the slope coefficient is greater than 1.0, at 1% significance: Computed value of the test statistic:
Critical point (from table):
Conclusion--accept or reject null hypothesis?
(5) [Confidence intervals and tests with arbitrarily-distributed errors: 20 pts] Using a sample of 500 observations, the following results are obtained from a regression of Y on X. Here the numbers without parentheses are the least-squares point estimates of the slope and intercept, while the numbers reported directly below them (in parentheses) are the standard errors.
a. Compute an exact 90% confidence interval for
b. Test the null hypothesis that the slope coefficient equals 3.0 against the (two-sided) alternative hypothesis that the slope coefficient does not equal 3.0, at 5% significance: Computed value of the test statistic:
Critical points (from table):
Conclusion--accept or reject null hypothesis?
[end of quiz]