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Econ Midterm Solutions - UW Milwaukee, Fall 2004, ECON 413, Ozlem Eren, Exams of Economics

Solutions to the economics midterm 2 exam held at the university of wisconsin milwaukee in fall 2004, in the department of economics, taught by ozlem eren for the course econ 413. Problems and solutions related to probability theory, random variables, and poisson processes.

Typology: Exams

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 09/02/2009

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University of Wisconsin Milwaukee
Department of Economics
Fall 2004 Ozlem Eren
ECON 413
MIDTERM 2
1. The joint distribution of the random variables X and Y is given in the following
table.
Y
0 1 2
0 0.1 0.2 0.3
X 1 0.1 0 0.1
2 0 0 0.2
a) Find E(XY = 1)
b) Find Var(X) and Var(Y)
c) Find ρX,Y.
d) Find Var(X-Y)
2. A discrete random variable X has the following cumulative distribution function
for x < 0
=
1
4
3
2
1
4
1
0
)(xF
for 0 x <1
for 1 x <3
for 3 x <5
for x 5
a) Find the probability distribution of X, i.e find f(x), x = 0,1,…,5
b) Find P(X = 3)
c) Find P(X 3)
pf2

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University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Department of Economics Fall 2004 Ozlem Eren

ECON 413 MIDTERM 2

  1. The joint distribution of the random variables X and Y is given in the following table. Y

0 1 2

0 0.1 0.2 0.

X 1 0.1 0 0.

2 0 0 0.

a) Find E(X⏐Y = 1)

b) Find Var(X) and Var(Y)

c) Find ρX,Y.

d) Find Var(X-Y)

  1. A discrete random variable X has the following cumulative distribution function

for x < 0

F ( x )

for 0≤ x <

for 1≤ x <

for 3≤ x <

for x ≥ 5

a) Find the probability distribution of X, i.e find f(x), x = 0,1,…,

b) Find P(X = 3)

c) Find P(X ≤ 3)

University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Department of Economics Fall 2004 Ozlem Eren

d) Find P(X ≥ 1)

e) Find P(1 < X < 5)

  1. Suppose accidents occur at a manufacturing plant according to a Poisson process at the rate of 2 accidents per month.

a) What is the probability that no accident will occur over a one-month period?

b) What is the probability that more than two accidents will occur over a one- month period?

c) What is the probability that no accident will occur over a three-month period?

d) What is the probability that more than two accidents will occur over a three-month period?

  1. Answer the following questions. Show all your work, otherwise you will not get any credit.

a) Let X 1 and X 2 be two random variables with means μ 1 and μ 2 and variances σ 12 and^ σ 22 , respectively. Let Y = k 1 X 1 + k 2 X 2 where k 1 and k 2 are fixed constants. Find E(Y) and Var(Y).

b) Let X, Y, and Z be uncorrelated random variables. Define U = Z + X and V = Z + Y. Find Cov (U,V)

  1. Four men whose coats appear identical hang them up in a coat room and later pick them up at random. Let X denote the number of matches (i.e., the number of men who get their own coats.) Define the indicator variable Yi, which is 1 if Mr. I gets his own coat and 0 if he does not.

a) Find P(Y 1 =1).

b) Find EY 1

c) Note that the Yi’s are exchangeable, and use this fact to find EX.

d) Show that if there are n men and n coats, the expected number of men who get their own coats is the same for all n.