Docsity
Docsity

Prepare for your exams
Prepare for your exams

Study with the several resources on Docsity


Earn points to download
Earn points to download

Earn points by helping other students or get them with a premium plan


Guidelines and tips
Guidelines and tips

Econometrics Field Examination: August 2009, Exams of Econometrics and Mathematical Economics

The questions for the econometrics field examination held at the university of california, berkeley in august 2009. The examination covers various topics in econometrics, including maximum likelihood estimation, time series analysis, and instrumental variables estimation. The questions require the application of theoretical concepts and the derivation of estimators and their properties.

Typology: Exams

2011/2012

Uploaded on 12/04/2012

devpad
devpad 🇮🇳

4.1

(54)

81 documents

1 / 4

Toggle sidebar

This page cannot be seen from the preview

Don't miss anything!

bg1
Field Examination: Econometrics
Department of Economics
University of California, Berkeley
August, 2009
Answer THREE of the following four questions (one hour each):
1. Suppose that economic theory suggests that a latent dependent variable y
isatis…es a classical linear
model
y
i=x0
i0+"i;
but that you do not observe y
iover its entire range. Instead, you observe a random sample of size
nof yiand xi;where yiis a transformed version of y
i,
yii(y
i)
= 0 if y
i0;
=y
iif 0< y
iLi;
=Liif Li< y
iUi;and
=y
iif Ui< y
i:
That is, the latent variable y
iis observed unless it is less than zero or in the interval (Li; Ui);where
the threshold variables Liand Ui> Li>0are assumed known for all i.
(a) Assuming that "iis normally distributed with zero mean and unknown variance 2
0;and is inde-
pendent of xi;derive the form of the average log-likelihood function for the unknown parameters
of this problem and the form of the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding maximum like-
lihood estimator.
(b) Suppose that the parametric form of the error distribution is unknown. Propose a pn-consistent
estimator of 0, imposing a suitable stochastic restriction on the conditional distribution of "i
given xi;and without imposing a scale normalization on 0:If possible, give an expression for
the asymptotic distribution of your estimator.
(c) Now suppose that y
iis never observed, but only the range that it falls into is observed. More
speci…cally, the dependent variable yiis now de…ned as
yiti(y
i)
= 0 if y
i0;
= 1 if 0< y
iLi;
= 2 if Li< y
iUi;and
= 3 if Ui< y
i:
Describe an alternative consistent estimator of 0under a semiparametric restriction on the
conditional distribution of the errors given the regressors. Is a scale normalization on 0needed,
or are all the components of 0(including the scale) identi…able under your restriction?
1
pf3
pf4

Partial preview of the text

Download Econometrics Field Examination: August 2009 and more Exams Econometrics and Mathematical Economics in PDF only on Docsity!

Field Examination: Econometrics

Department of Economics

University of California, Berkeley

August, 2009

Answer THREE of the following four questions (one hour each):

  1. Suppose that economic theory suggests that a latent dependent variable y i satisÖes a classical linear model y i = x^0 i 0 + "i; but that you do not observe y i over its entire range. Instead, you observe a random sample of size n of yi and xi; where yi is a transformed version of y i , yi   (^) i(y i ) = 0 if y i  0 ; = y i if 0 < y i  Li; = Li if Li < y i  Ui; and = y i if Ui < y i : That is, the latent variable y i is observed unless it is less than zero or in the interval (Li; Ui); where the threshold variables Li and Ui > Li > 0 are assumed known for all i.

(a) Assuming that "i is normally distributed with zero mean and unknown variance ^20 ; and is inde- pendent of xi; derive the form of the average log-likelihood function for the unknown parameters of this problem and the form of the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding maximum like- lihood estimator. (b) Suppose that the parametric form of the error distribution is unknown. Propose a

p n-consistent estimator of 0 , imposing a suitable stochastic restriction on the conditional distribution of "i given xi; and without imposing a scale normalization on 0 : If possible, give an expression for the asymptotic distribution of your estimator. (c) Now suppose that y i is never observed, but only the range that it falls into is observed. More speciÖcally, the dependent variable yi is now deÖned as yi  ti(y i ) = 0 if y i  0 ; = 1 if 0 < y i  Li; = 2 if Li < y i  Ui; and = 3 if Ui < y i : Describe an alternative consistent estimator of 0 under a semiparametric restriction on the conditional distribution of the errors given the regressors. Is a scale normalization on 0 needed, or are all the components of 0 (including the scale) identiÖable under your restriction?

  1. Suppose fyt : 1  t  T g is an observed time series generated by the model

yt = yt 1 + "t;

where y 0 = 0 and "t  i:i:d: N (0; 1) ; while  is an unknown parameter. As estimators of ; consider

^ =

PT

Pt=1^ yt^1 yt T t=1 y 2 t 1

and ~ =

PT

Pt=1^ ytyt^1 T t=1 y 2 t

Suppose jj < 1 :

(a) Show that ^ !p  and ~ !p : (b) Find the limiting distributions (after appropriate centering and rescaling) of ^ and ~: Are ^ and ~ asymptotically equivalent? (c) Suppose  = 1: Show that ^ !p  and ~ !p : (d) Again suppose  = 1: Find the limiting distributions (after appropriate centering and rescaling) of ^ and ~: Are ^ and ~ asymptotically equivalent?

  1. Consider a random sample of size N from a simple random-coe¢ cient regression model

Yi = Bi  Xi + Ui;

where Yi; Xi; Bi; and Ui are scalar random variables (Yi and Xi observable, Bi and Ui unobservable). The regressor Xi is assumed to be continuously distributed with density function f (x) that is assumed positive and smooth (i.e., lots of bounded derivatives) on the whole real line. The "error term" Ui is assumed to be independent of Xi with zero mean, variance ^2 ; and all higher moments Önite. All moments of the "random coe¢ cient" Bi are assumed to exist; the parameter of interest is its unconditional mean 0  E[Bi]: However, Bi is not assumed to be independent of Xi; and its conditional expectation (x)  E[BijXi = x] is smooth but not assumed to be a constant in x

(a) What is the probability limit of the classical least squares estimator

^ 

PN

Pi=1^ Yi^ ^ Xi N i=1 X 2 i

Under what additional conditions (if any) will ^^ be a (mean-squared error) consistent estimator of 0? (b) An instrumental variables estimator of 0 , using Zi = 1=Xi as an instrumental variable for Xi; is  (^)  1 N

X^ N

i=

Yi Xi

Under what additional conditions (if any) will ^ be a (mean-squared) consistent estimator of 0? (c) A "trimmed" version of the IV estimator is

N

X^ N

i=

1(jXij > h) 

Yi Xi

where h = hN is a deterministic sequence of constants. Under what additional conditions (if any) will ~^ be a (mean-squared) consistent estimator of 0? (d) What is the maximal rate of convergence of the mean-squared error of ~^ to zero? What as- sumptions on the sequence hn are needed to achieve that rate?