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International Telecommunication Union Radiocommunication (Sector) ... This study, Information Collection Survey for the Mega Manila Subway Project ...
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Exchange Rate (March 2015) 1 Philippines Peso (PhP) = 2.7088 Japanese Yen (JPY) 1 US dollar (US$) = 119.03 JPY 1 US dollar (US$) = 43.95 PhP
Final Report
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Source: JICA Study Team
LOCATION MAP OF TARGET PROJECT AREA
Final Report
iii
Location Map Abbreviations
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Background of the Study 1- 1.2 Objective of the Study 1- 1.3 Area of the Study 1- 1.4 Scope of the Study 1- 1.5 Basic Concept for Selection of Route Alignment Options 1-
Chapter 2 Current Situation and Issues of Transport Sector in the Target Area
2.1 Current Situation and Issues on Urban Development 2- 2.2 Current Situation and Issues on Transportation Sector 2- 2.3 Development Polices and Plans of Urban and Transport Sectors 2- 2.4 Current Status of Relevant Projects and Plans by Other Donors and/or Private 2- Sector 2.5 Existing Railway Network and Transport Capacity 2- 2.6 Necessity of Mega Manila Subway Project and Issues in Implementation 2- 2.7 Status of Land Acquisition and Current Usage of Right of Way for MMSP 2- 2.8 Transit Oriented Development (TOD) 2-
Chapter 3 Current Status and Review of Issues of Legal Frame for Usage of Subterranean Space 3.1 Present Situation of Laws and Regulations for Ownership and Usage Right of 3- Subterranean Space 3.2 Legal Framework for Compensation to Land Owners and Construction 3- Implementation in relation to Underground Construction 3.3 Recommendations for Necessary Legal Framework and Process 3-
Chapter 4 Criteria in Consideration of Route Alignment Options
4.1 Geological Condition and Natural Disaster Risk 4- 4.2 Socio-Economic Aspects 4- 4.3 Connectivity with Public Transport Network 4- 4.4 Technical and Engineering Aspects 4- 4.5 Existing Right of Way 4- 4.6 Existing Underground Structures 4- 4.7 Benefit to Residents along Railway and Potential for Development along 4- Railway 4.8 Consideration of Route Alignment Options 4-
Final Report
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Chapter 5 Demand Forecast
5.1 Method of Demand Forecast Updating 5- 5.2 Results of Updated Demand Forecast 5-
Chapter 6 Preliminary Route Alignment Plan
6.1 Route Alignment Plan 6- 6.2 Civil Structures (including Trackwork) 6- 6.3 Station Structures 6- 6.4 Trackwork 6- 6.5 Depot 6- 6.6 Utilization of Japanese Technologies (Civil Works) 6-
Chapter 7 Railway Systems
7.1 Existing Railways in Metro Manila 7- 7.2 Rolling Stock 7- 7.3 Electric and Machinery Facilities 7- 7.4 Signalling System and Tele-communication Systems Facilities 7- 7.5 Train Operation Plan 7- 7.6 Utilization of Japanese Technologies in Rolling Stock and Railway Systems 7-
Chapter 8 Preliminary Implementation Plan and Project Cost
8.1 Preliminary Implementation Plan 8- 8.2 Preliminary Project Cost 8-
Chapter 9 Preliminary TOD Concept for MMSP
9.1 Considerations on the Examination of TOD Scenario 9- 9.2 Preliminary TOD Concepts by Station 9- 9.3 Case Study on TOD Concept for Station in BGC 9-
Chapter 10 Project Implementation Structure and Operation and Maintenance Structure
10.1 Current Situation of Project Implementation Structure and O&M Structure of 10- Railways in Metro Manila 10.2 Recommendation for Project Implementation Structure 10- 10.3 Recommendation for O&M Structure 10- 10.4 Preliminary Operation and Maintenance Cost 10-
Chapter 11 Review of Natural Conditions
11.1 Assessment of Natural Disaster Risks 11- 11.2 Recommendation for Prevention and Mitigation against Natural Disaster 11-
Chapter 12 Preview of Environmental and Social Consideration
12.1 Review of Natural Conditions and Social Characteristics at Project Area 12- 12.2 Potential Environmental and Social Impact due to MMSP 12- 12.3 Policy and Current Situation of Land Acquisition and Resettlement Action Plan 12-
Final Report
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Abbreviations
Abbreviation Full Name
AC Alternating Current ACELP Algebraic Code Excited Linear Prediction
ADB Asian Development Bank AFC Automatic Fare Collection
AG Automatic Gate AGT Automated Guideway Transit
ALI Ayala land Inc. ASEAN Association of South‐East Asian Nations
ATACS Advanced Train Administration and Communications System ATC Automatic Train Control
ATO Automatic Train Operation ATP Automatic Train Protection
ATS Automatic Train Stop BCDA Bases Conversion and Development Authority
BGC Bonifacio Global City BLDC Bonifacio Land Development Corporation
BLT Build-Lease-Transfer BMCL Bangkok Metro Public Company Ltd.
BOO Build-Own-Operate BOT Build-Operate-Transfer
BPO Business Process Outsourcing BRLC Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna and Cavite
B/C Benefit / Cost CA Concession Agreement
CAMANAVA Caloocan, Malabon, Navotas and Valenzuela CAVITEX Manila-Cavite Expressway
CBD Central Business District CBTC Communications Based Train Control
COA Commission of Audit CTC Centralized Train Control
DBM Department of Budget and Management (of the Republic of the Philippines) DC Direct Current
DMU Diesel Multiple Unit DOF Department of Finance (of the Republic of the Philippines)
DOTC Department of Transportation and Communication (of the Republic of the Philippines) DPWH Department of Public Works and Highways (of the Republic of the Philippines)
E&M Electrical and Mechanical EIA Environmental Impact Assessment
EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return EMU Electric Multiple Unit
ENPV Economic Net Present Value ETCS European Train Control System
ETSI European Telecommunications Standards Institute EWR East West Railway
FBDC Fort Bonifacio Development Corporation
Final Report
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Abbreviation Full Name
FC Foreign Currency
FIRR Financial Internal Rate of Return FMD Ferrocarril de Manila-Dagupan
FY Fiscal Year F/S Feasibility Study
GAA General Appropriations Act GCMT Global Cities Mass Transit
GCR Greater Capital Region GDP Gross Domestic Product
GHG Greenhouse Gas GOJ Government of Japan
GOP Government of Philippines GRDP Gross Regional Domestic Product
HQ Headquarters HSR High Speed Railway
ICAO International Civil Aviation Organization IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
IGBT Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor IMO International Maritime Organization
ISO International Organization for Standardization ITS Intelligent Transportation System
ITU-R International Telecommunication Union Radiocommunication (Sector) JBIC Japan Bank For International Cooperation
JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency JPY Japanese Yen
LC Local Currency LCD Liquid Crystal Display
IEC International Electrotechnical Commission LED Light Emitting Diode
LGU Local Government Unit LRT Light Rail Transit
LRTA Light Rail Transit Authority LRV Light Rail Vehicle
LTFRB Land Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board METI Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (of Japan)
MICT Manila International Container Terminal MLIT Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (of Japan)
MMDA Metropolitan Manila Development Authority MMS Mega Manila Subway
MMSP Mega Manila Subway Project MMUTIS Metro Manila Urban Transportation Integration Study
MOA Memoranda of Agreement / (SM) Mall of Asia MRR Manila Railroad Company
MRT Mass Rapid Transit / Metro Rail Transit MRTA Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand
MRTC Metro Rail Transit Corporation Limited
Final Report
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Abbreviation Full Name
TTC Travel Time Cost
TVM Ticket Vending Machine USD United States Dollar
VAT Value Added Tax VOC Vehicle Operation Costs
VVVF Variable Voltage Variable Frequency
Final Report
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Final Report
1.1 Background of the Study
The population of Metro Manila, the National Capital Region (NCR), has increased at the rate of 1.8% per annum and has reached 12 million in 2010 from 7.9 million in 1990 although the Metro Manila is a relatively small urban area with approx. 620 km^2. In fact, the population density of the Metro Manila (191 persons/ha) is comparably higher than other mega cities in Asia, where persons per ha of Tokyo is 131 and that for Shanghai is 124. Rapid growth of population in the urban area is a significant threat to the sustainable development of the area. Despite the fact that the transportation network in Manila Metro Manila, such as highways and LRT/MRTs, have been constructed gradually, the infrastructure development has not caught up with the increasing transportation demand with even worth traffic jam in the central business district, resulting in the decrease of the country’s competitiveness against others.
Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) has implemented a study called “Roadmap for Transport Infrastructure Development for Metro Manila and its Surrounding Areas” (hereinafter called as “Roadmap Study”) in 2013, where the transport development investment plan was established and prioritized projects were selected. Recommendations and proposals in the Roadmap Study was approved at the board of directors meeting of National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) in June 2014. Main objective of the Roadmap Study was to realize the ideal transport network by 2030 and the Roadmap Study recommended the implementation of various projects, such as the construction of approx. 300 km railways and approx. 500 km highways, rationalization of public transport system and network, and transportation control system.
In the Roadmap Study, 2 railway lines in north-south direction were proposed as the sustainable development means in the Manila Greater Capital Region (GCR: 3 regions of the NCR, Region III and IV-A), one of which was planned as the subway connecting San Jose del Monte at north and Dasmariñas at south via EDSA (Circumferential Road No.4: C4), which is the main objective of this Study. A very preliminary study without consideration of detailed alignment and technical requirements was carried out in the Roadmap Study for the realization of the subway project.
1.2 Objective of the Study
This study, Information Collection Survey for the Mega Manila Subway Project (hereinafter called as the “Study” or also as the “MMSP”), aims to collect and confirm basic information regarding the proposed subway project in the Roadmap Study (hereinafter called as the “Project”, not necessarily limited to the particular route proposed in the Roadmap Study, but the planned subway in north-south corridor through the GCR in general), which will be a beneficial and valuable input to the realization of the Project, in particular application to the NEDA ICC (Investment Coordination Committee) by the Department of Transportation and Communications (DOTC) of the Republic of the Philippines. The main outcome of the Study will be the several options of the implementation of the north-south corridor subway project, without definitive suggestion or recommendation on particular option among several options to be proposed, but with rough cost estimate, construction schedule, results of rough economic and financial analysis. Other important aspects related to the project implementation, i.e. disaster and risk prevention, potential project implementation scheme, non-railway business opportunities, etc., will be also presented in the deliverables of the Study.
1.3 Area of the Study
The area of this study includes the NCR, Region III and Region IV-A
Final Report
8 Rough Project Cost Estimation
Rough Estimate of Project Cost Preliminary Economic and Financial Analysis (EIRR/FIRR)
9 Consideration of Project Implementation Organization and Operation and Maintenance Organization
Based on the existing project implementation organization and operation and maintenance organization in railways of Manila GCR, those most applicable to the implementation of Mega Manila Subway will be considered and proposed, incorporating opinions and suggestions from those concerned in the Philippines. 10 Consideration of Project Implementation Scheme and Financing Plan
Applicability of PPP scheme (e.g. subsidy, separation of infrastructure and operation, outsourcing of operation) and options of financial plan will be roughly considered. 11 Consideration on Environmental and Social Impact
Review of natural and social environment impact Political measure of land acquisition and resident resettlement plan and confirmation of existing situation 12 Utilization of Japanese Technology
Introduction of Japanese technology that can be utilized in the MMSP, e.g. measures to mitigate impacts to existing structures, advanced construction methods, state of the art railway systems, etc. 13 Creation of 3D CAD Images (^) Creation of 3D CAD images for underground sections with complicated condition where there are existing substructures and thus neighboring construction would be required 14 Creation of Project Video (^) Creation of approx. 3 minute video with narration to propagate the MMSP to people and those concerned in the Philippines 15 Issues and Concerns for Next Step
Items to be considered for the project implementation and construction body and system Items to be considered for the operation and maintenance organization 16 Implementation of Training in Japan
The training will be implemented after discussion with JICA to decide the dates and contents of the training. The training program and its budget will be prepared by following JICA Guideline of Implementation of Training in Contract for Consultants, etc. (April in 2014).
This report, Final Report, covers Items Nos. 1 to 13 and 15.
1.5 Basic Concept for Selection of Route Alignment Options
The Mega Manila Subway Project (MMSP) was initially envisaged and proposed in a study called “Roadmap for Transport Infrastructure Development for Metro Manila and its Surrounding Areas (Region III & Region IV-A), March 2014” (Roadmap Study) financed by JICA. Therefore, the Study Team has first studied the rough route, including some options, proposed in the Roadmap Study, where the preliminary consideration was made to propose the routes for the MMSP.
Based on the Roadmap Study as the staring point, the JICA Study Team has collected various information necessary to select (more precisely “nominate”) several route alignment options that will be the basis for carrying out the Feasibility Study for MMSP, in which the route for the MMSP will be selected. It is a fundamental concept and policy of the JICA and the JICA Study Team that any particular option will not be selected as the selected route for the MMSP in this Study since the Study
Final Report
is an information collection survey carried out prior to the Feasibility Study and the information available and the consideration made are too little to determine the most feasible and suitable route option for the MMSP, which is one of the largest infrastructure projects in the Philippines, from various viewpoints and aspects for the determination. Therefore, the Study is being made towards the selection (nomination) of several route alignment options based on major criteria in selecting route options, with results of various factors for each option, e.g. demand forecast, social impact, rough cost estimate, preliminary economic and financial analysis, etc. Although the results will be presented, no particular option will be determined to be the “selected option”. The most feasible and suitable route shall be determined not only by one of the factors, e.g. demand, cost, EIRR, etc., but shall be done through comprehensive consideration of all factors. It shall be also noted that the results of each factor have been made based on the data and information currently available as well as the railway network plan already approved or acknowledged at this moment. If the railway network plan is changed, e.g. the route of other new railway is changed, a new railway route is proposed, etc., or if new major roads (trunk road, expressway, etc.) are added in the plan, then the results of each factor for each option vary from those presented in this Study. Such consideration shall be made in the Feasibility Study stage.
Following is the major items used as the basis for presenting the results of each factor for each selected option:
Functioning as North-South transport backbone, with separation in station territories with North-South Railway Project being carried out by JICA and PPP Center to maximize the benefit of both projects
Design year for Demand Forecast study at 2025, 2035 and 2045
Design year for Economic and Financial study up to 40 years from the commencement of Phase 1 revenue operation
Implementation of project in 2 phases, with assumption of the revenue operation of Phase 1 staring in 2025 and that of Phase in 2035
Rough cost estimate for Phase 1 and Phase 2 project costs, including construction cost, utility relocation cost, tax, consultants cost, physical contingency, land acquisition and compensation, and ancillary road construction (necessary for construction of railways along existing roads or on areas currently without roads)
No consideration of branch lines to other directions, e.g. to existing or new airports, etc.
Chapter 4 describes the detailed criteria in the selection of route alignment options and the options selected based on such criteria, and Chapter 15 shows the summary of route selection against various studies conducted.
