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The final exam questions for a statistics course, bios760, taken in the fall of 2007. The exam covers topics such as maximum likelihood estimation, complete and sufficient statistics, and the em algorithm. Students are required to find estimators, derive distributions, and apply statistical inequalities.
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BIOS760 Final Exam, Fall 2007
i
log i + U i
i
= β + e
Xi ≤ i
with U i
, i = 1, ..., n i.i.d from Uniform(0,1), ≤ i
, i = 1, ..., n from N (0, 1), and U i
independent of ≤ i
By noting
i
e
−Xi = βe
−Xi
we can obtain an alternative least-square estimator for β given as
β =
∑ n
i=
i
e
− 2 Xi
∑ n
i=
e
− 2 Xi
(a) (5 points) Write down the observed likelihood function for β.
(b) (5 points) What is the Cramer-Rao lower bound for β?
We want to derive the asymptotic distribution for
β after a proper normalization. Particulary,
we take the following steps.
(c) (5 points) Derive the asymptotic distribution of
∑ n
i=
i
− 1 / 2 e
−Ui ≤i, after a proper normaliza-
tion;
(d) (5 points) Show
∑ n
i=
i
− 1 e
− 2 Ui
(1 − e
− 2 )/ 2
∑ n
i=
i
− 1
p
(e) (5 points) Obtain the asymptotic distribution for
β after a proper normalization.
n
are i.i.d from density
f (x) = I(x ≥ θ) exp{−(x − θ)}.
(a) (5 points) Find a complete and sufficient statistic for θ.
(b) (5 points) Derive the UMVUE for θ and denote it as
θ 1
(c) (5 points) Find the maximum likelihood estimate for θ and denote it as
θ 2
(d) (5 points) Calculate the variance of
θ 2 and show that
θ 2 is consistent using the Chebyshev’s
inequality.
(e) (5 points) Find some constant an such that an(
θ 2 − θ 0 ) converges in distribution to a non-
degenerate distribution. Identify the limiting distribution. Here, θ 0
is the true value for
θ.
(f) (5 points) Find some constant b n
such that b n
θ 1
− θ 0
) converges in distribution to a non-
degenerate distribution. Identify the limiting distribution.
intake from n independent adults. Assume
i
= β 0
i
i
where ≤ i
follows distribution N (0, σ
2 ) and is independent of X i
. Assume X i
has a known density
g(x). In a real study, we observe X 1
n
but instead of Z i
, only the categories of BMI are
observed: such categories are defined as
i
{
normal, Z i
overweight, 25 ≤ Zi.
Therefore, the observed data are (Y 1 , X 1 ), ..., (Yn, Xn). We may code Yi = 0 for “normal” category
and Y i
= 1 for “overweight” category.
(a) (5 points) Write down the observed likelihood function.
(b) (5 points) Write down the likelihood function of the complete data.
(c) (15 points) We want to use the EM algorithm to calculate the maximum likelihood estimates
for β 0 , β 1 and σ
2
. Give the explicit calculations in both E-step and M-step. In the expressions,
you may use Φ(x) and φ(x) to denote the respective cumulative distribution function and
density function of standard normal distribution.